3rd Poll Surge in a row.

source: politicalbetting.com

Last week I reported a poll surge taking us to 22%. I added the usual cautious notes, however, as one poll on it's own isn't a reliable indicator.

Then a second poll came out with another, albeit more modest, surge taking us to 18%.

Well today I can report the latest COMRES poll has taken us to 22%, and this time only 3% behind Labour who have dropped to 25%.

There is, however, one slight cavaet. A poll released later last night from YOUGOV, puts us DOWN to 14% and Labour unchanged on 32%. This is slightly odd as Labour are in the 20's for all other three polls, and this is the only poll where our support is sinking rather than rising.

This might be explained by the near universal cry from all quarters that YOUGOV's internet (rather than phone) methodology is flawed, and is very unreliable.

For once, it seems the bad news is the abnormality, rather than the other-way round.